Women, especially, defeated the forces of darkness and dumbness
Black people, Latino women, white women, all women kicked some serious ass
Okay, actually most of the election liars won, so I got that wrong.
My analysis came from watching two polling aggregators, Real Clear Politics and Five Thirty Eight. I noticed a mid-November overabundance of polling being done by Republican funding that was skewing the averages rightward. I noticed reversals in trends (Oz after the debate then back to Fetterman last week, toward Kotek in Oregon, toward Kelly in Arizona and several others). Most late reversals seemed to follow the attack on Paul Pelosi. Election Day polling indicate that independent voters favored Democrats 49%-47% which also is unusual in a midterm election.
The polls skewing and the trends informed my predictions. One day after my predictions, Arizona Republicans who’d advised against early voting changed their minds and told voters to vote before Election Day. I took that as a clear sign they were panicked by the numbers of early voting Democrats and last night confirmed it for me.
Who were the biggest losers?
Billionaire Peter Thiel with Blake Masters in AZ but he won JD Vance in Ohio.
Billionaire Phil Knight, the Al Bundy of Oregon, with several Oregon candidates.
Billionaires Charles Koch and Rebekah Mercer.
The husband/wife Billionaires Uihlein.
Billionaire Elon Musk.
And especially the Fake Billionaire Trump. Although he’ll now magically convince most of his followers that all these losses are actually a great win. He has to, because running in 2024 is the only path that might keep his crooked ass out of jail.
Why?
-Because the corrupted SCOTUS eliminated equality for women
-Because of two attempts to assassinate Nancy Pelosi, and so many Republicans ridiculed her and her husband while giving aid and comfort to insurrectionists and assassins. Michigan’s Governor Gretchen Whitmer was targeted for kidnapping and she easily won reelection. (plus the Michigan Senate flipped to Democrats’ control for the first time in 40 years).
-Because violence, in general, is being soundly rejected. Russia, Saudi Arabia, North Korea, drug cartels, Proud Boys, Oathkeepers, Ammon Bundy boys, mass shooters, all the names meaningless. They are simply The Violent and we’re sick of them all.
-Because Joe Biden has proven himself as an advocate for women and Black people and the middle class and working class. Most people understand inflation as a temporary side effect of a fast growing economy and can handle the temporary hardship.
-Because the majority of Americans who despise Trump’s crimes and strange behaviors keeps growing in numbers.
I’m writing this early Wednesday morning before the results in WI, OR, NV, AZ and GA are fully tabulated but it looks like clear upsets will be in the mix. Katie Hobbs might upset Kari Lake in the AZ governor’s race. There’s an outside chance that Mandela Barnes could upset Ron Johnson in WI. Lauren Boebert might go down to defeat in CO, in a very close race at the moment. She famously dissed over 600,000 dead Americans in a speech where she said “Don’t come knocking on my door with your Fauci Ouchie.”
(above) Dems need 2 to maintain Senate control. The GOP needs 3. I think the odds are high that the Dems will win AZ, NV and GA for a 51-49 Senate majority.
Plus… Massachusetts and Oregon will have the first openly gay governors. Oregon passed a good set of new gun regulations. Access to abortions was winning in 3 of 5 state ballot initiatives (and the other 2 remain too close to call). At 25, Maxwell Frost became the first Gen Z member of Congress, winning a seat from Florida. All the top elected officials in Maryland are now Black.
Current projections indicate the Republicans will narrowly control the House with maybe a 222 or less majority (218 is needed), far fewer than the 234+ they thought they could get.
Not everything went perfectly for Democrats since many election liars still won, though their swing state wins were few. But it was overall a good night for the still sane majority of voters.
How an emotionally fragile guy got labeled as Space Karen…. is a fun read.